Rodri in action for Manchester United in 2025

Rodri injury risk revealed as Real Madrid links intensify

Adem Ozcan Last updated: Mar 27, 2026, 11:18 am
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Image: IMAGO / Action Plus

Rodri injury risk has come under fresh scrutiny amid growing transfer interest from Real Madrid, with a medical expert warning the Manchester City midfielder faces a notable chance of relapse.

The Spain international has been linked with a potential move this summer, and recently admitted his future remains open with just one year left before contract talks become essential. However, concerns over his long-term fitness are now part of the wider discussion.

According to comments reported via Onda Cero, Madrid-based physiotherapist Ángel Villanueva believes Rodri’s injury history presents measurable risks that clubs must factor into any decision.

Rodri injury risk raises questions for potential transfer

Villanueva has outlined a detailed medical assessment of Rodri’s condition following his serious knee injury in September 2024.

The midfielder returned to action in May 2025, but the expert suggests that timeline may have been too aggressive, contributing to subsequent muscle issues and further discomfort in the same knee.

“Risk of re-rupture (same ACL or the other): 18–30% in the first two years. +60% risk of muscle injuries (hamstrings).” — Ángel Villanueva

The warning highlights two key concerns: the potential for a recurring knee injury and a significantly increased likelihood of hamstring problems, both of which are common after major ligament damage.

Context behind Rodri’s recovery and current form

Rodri endured a lengthy absence after his initial injury, missing over 100 days of action. While he has been a regular for Manchester City in 2026, his recovery path has not been entirely smooth.

From the last few months of Manchester City’s campaign, he has re-established himself as a key figure in midfield, offering control and structure in Pep Guardiola’s system.

However, Villanueva suggests that factors such as his position and age could influence his long-term outlook. Defensive midfielders are required to make frequent directional changes and physical adjustments, which place additional stress on the knee.

It remains too early to draw firm conclusions about his durability moving forward, but the data points to a need for careful management.

Real Madrid interest meets medical caution

Real Madrid’s interest in Rodri is well documented, with the midfielder reportedly identified as a priority target. The player himself has not ruled out a move, acknowledging that discussions over his future will take place.

“I have one year left on my contract, there will come a point when we’ll have to sit down and talk. You can’t turn down the best clubs in the world.” — Rodri

Despite that openness, Villanueva emphasises that any transfer would require extensive medical evaluation. Suggested measures include MRI scans, strength testing and performance analysis to assess recovery symmetry and physical readiness.

The expert also points to the possibility of performance-related clauses or insurance protections within any contract agreement.

Rodri’s current performance and value

Rodri has remained an important player for Manchester City this season, featuring regularly when fit.

Stat (2025/26) Rodri
Appearances 28
Minutes Played 1,790
Premier League Apps 18
Starts 14
Contract Until 2027

source: sofascore match data – 27 March 2026

His continued involvement suggests he has regained a significant level of performance, though underlying risk remains part of the equation.

Having followed Manchester City closely this season, his presence still defines their midfield structure, particularly in controlling tempo and transitions.

Key Insights

  • Rodri faces an estimated 18–30% risk of knee relapse
  • There is also a reported 60% increased risk of hamstring injuries
  • Real Madrid remain interested in a summer transfer
  • The midfielder has returned to regular action in 2026
  • Any move would require extensive medical evaluation

What’s next for Rodri and Manchester City?

Rodri’s performances over the coming months will be closely monitored by both Manchester City and potential suitors. His fitness record through the remainder of the season could influence transfer decisions.

Contract discussions are also expected, with his current deal running until 2027. Any developments may become clearer once the campaign concludes.

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