Paul Merson has given a frank assessment of Leeds United’s start to life back in the Premier League, suggesting Daniel Farke’s side could be in for a difficult campaign despite a promising early run.
Speaking ahead of this weekend’s clash with Burnley, Merson told SportsKeeda that he expects a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor — and believes both clubs will spend the season battling near the bottom of the table. Leeds currently sit 15th with eight points from seven games, while Burnley trail them by just four points.
Under Farke, Leeds have earned praise for their energy and commitment, but Merson insists survival will be the real target this term.
Merson: “Leeds will be in the bottom five or six all season”
Merson acknowledged Leeds have been the better of the two promoted sides so far but maintained that consistency will be their biggest challenge as the season unfolds.
“I don’t think Burnley have got going just yet. There’s only four points between them and Leeds, but honestly, there’s a lot between the sides if you look at performances. Leeds have comfortably been the better side out of the two so far this season,” — Paul Merson, via SportsKeeda
The Sky Sports pundit went on to predict a 1-1 draw, adding that “both Burnley and Leeds will be in that bottom five or six all season.” He praised Leeds’ display against Wolves earlier this month, saying a repeat of that level could earn them another valuable result.
Fellow analyst Chris Sutton has also predicted a draw, expecting a goalless stalemate, underlining how tight the contest is likely to be between the two newly promoted sides.
Leeds still behind pace of previous Premier League campaign
While Leeds’ performances have shown promise, their current points tally highlights lingering concerns. After seven matches of the 2025/26 campaign, the Whites have eight points — three fewer than they had at the same stage in 2022/23, a season that ultimately ended in relegation.
| Premier League Comparison | 2022/23 | 2025/26 |
|---|---|---|
| Games Played | 7 | 7 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goal Difference | +1 | -4 |
| Points | 11 | 8 |
source: Premier League data – 17 October 2025
During their last top-flight stint, Leeds were in the top half at this point, highlighting the need for improvement if they are to avoid another survival scrap. Farke’s men have shown resilience against strong opposition — including narrow defeats to Tottenham and Chelsea — but must start converting effort into points.
Analyst Verdict — by Liam Rowe, FootballPlace
In my view, Merson’s assessment is fair. Leeds have energy and togetherness, but their defensive record and lack of clinical edge could leave them exposed in tight matches. We believe the difference between survival and relegation will come down to how well Farke manages injuries and adapts tactically through the winter months.
The encouraging part for Leeds fans is that the team doesn’t look out of its depth — they’ve competed well in most games. If they can sharpen their attack and improve game management, mid-table safety is still a realistic target.
Key Insights
- Paul Merson predicts a 1-1 draw between Leeds and Burnley.
- Pundit warns both sides could remain in the bottom six all season.
- Leeds currently 15th with eight points from seven matches.
- Farke’s side have three fewer points than at this stage in 2022/23.
- Chris Sutton also predicts a draw, highlighting the fixture’s balance.
What’s Next
Leeds travel to Burnley on 18 October aiming to secure a second league win in three matches. A victory could lift them into the top half of the table, showing just how congested the bottom half of the Premier League remains.
After Burnley, Farke’s men host West Ham at Elland Road before visiting Brighton, hoping to build momentum and ease early relegation fears.
👉 Do you agree with Paul Merson — will Leeds stay clear of danger or fight for survival all season?
0 Comments
First read message
Leave a comment
Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *