Manchester City suffered another damaging setback in the Premier League title race as Eddie Howe’s Newcastle deservedly beat them 2–1 at St James’ Park on Saturday night. A Harvey Barnes brace delivered the latest blow to Pep Guardiola’s side, who now risk falling eight points behind Arsenal if the Gunners win the North London derby.
It wasn’t just the scoreline that stung — it was the manner of the defeat. Newcastle tore through City repeatedly in the second half, creating four clear openings that could easily have turned the match into an embarrassment. And for Alan Shearer, the warning signs are bigger than one bad evening.
The Premier League’s all-time top scorer delivered a brutally honest assessment on Premier League Productions, suggesting this City team may never recapture the level that defined their era of dominance.
“They are certainly not as good as they were,” he said. “We might never see them get back to that.”
Why Shearer believes City’s dominance may be fading
City’s decline is relative — they are still among the best teams in Europe — but Shearer’s argument hinges on something deeper than form.
For seven seasons, City set standards English football had never seen: four straight Premier League titles, record-breaking points totals, relentless control, and the sense that even bad days were anomalies. But Shearer believes that aura has eroded.
His biggest concern? The absence of Rodri, the midfielder who underpinned City’s structure. “They’re not the same team without him,” he said. “I’m not sure they’ve replaced him — and maybe they can’t.”
The statistical picture is paradoxical: City have conceded just 10 goals in 12 league matches — the third-best record in the division — yet they are giving up far more big chances than in their peak Guardiola seasons. Newcastle exploited that vulnerability at will.
“They should have scored six or seven” — Shearer on City’s defensive fragility
Shearer singled out the openness of City’s second half, insisting the champions-elect were fortunate to escape with a respectable scoreline.
“If Newcastle had their shooting boots on, they should have scored six or seven,” he said. “The way they carved City open would be a bigger concern for me.”
Guardiola’s frustration after the match focused on refereeing decisions, but Shearer dismissed that as a distraction: “The concern would be how many chances they are giving up — not bad luck.”
Our View: Why Shearer’s verdict matters — and why he might be right
Having covered Manchester City across their era of dominance, this feels like the first time their shortcomings have looked systemic rather than situational. In our view, City’s biggest shift is not their pressing or possession — it’s their control. They once suffocated matches; now they increasingly have to survive them.
Although some pundits argue City will inevitably recover once Rodri returns, other indications point differently: this season’s squad is ageing in key areas, midfield depth is thinner, and the balance between defensive solidity and attacking firepower is not as harmonious as in past Guardiola cycles. This seems optimistic considering how consistently City are being out-transitioned.
From experience covering Guardiola sides, when their control phase weakens, the defensive line is exposed more brutally than most teams — because City defend with structure, not numbers. That structure isn’t as airtight this season.
Mental / Momentum Insight – Why Arsenal’s rise complicates City’s chase
Arsenal’s evolution into a mature, defensively elite side adds additional pressure. A few years ago, City could win the league even while operating at 85%. Not anymore. The gap in performance required is narrower — and Arsenal, Liverpool and even Newcastle are more than capable of punishing slippage.
This could be the first season in a decade where City must chase a title without the psychological certainty they once carried.
Key Insights
- Shearer claims City may never return to their peak dominance.
- Absence of Rodri highlighted as a major structural weakness.
- Newcastle carved City open repeatedly and could have scored 6–7.
- City have a strong goals-against record but give up too many big chances.
- Arsenal can move six points clear with a win in the derby.
What’s Next
City host Leeds United on 29 November 2025, knowing any further dropped points could stretch the title race beyond their reach before Christmas. Guardiola must now fix defensive disorganisation — fast — if City want to stay in the hunt.
👉 Man City fans — do you agree with Shearer: are City slipping permanently, or is this just a blip?
1 Comment (last comment by JamesLove)
First read message
By JamesLove 23 Nov 2025 13:10
Easy comment to make. Succes is for no one a guarantee. I think City will be fine, the scouting system is very important - they’ve been buying well season in, season out.
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