Casemiro in action for Manchester United in 2025

Manchester United exit and Brazil return taking shape

John William Last updated: Sep 8, 2025, 9:34 pm
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Image: IMAGO / Every Second Media

Casemiro transfer news has taken centre stage in Brazil, with multiple outlets reporting that the Manchester United midfielder could be preparing for his final season in the Premier League. At 33, and with his contract running until June 2026, the Brazil international looks unlikely to extend his stay in England.

According to journalist Jorge Nicola, both Flamengo and Palmeiras are monitoring Casemiro’s situation closely, while São Paulo — the club where he developed before heading to Real Madrid — could play a decisive role. “Practically impossible” is how Nicola described the chances of Casemiro leaving Old Trafford before the end of his deal, mainly due to his current £9.4m annual salary.

Manchester United’s midfield rebuild under Rúben Amorim has given Casemiro regular minutes early in the 2025/26 campaign, but long-term succession plans are already in motion. With three league starts so far, his influence on the pitch remains significant, yet the feeling is that this campaign could be his farewell tour.

Why Brazil Beckons Again

Flamengo and Palmeiras both see Casemiro as the perfect veteran signing to elevate their midfield ahead of the 2026 Copa Libertadores campaigns. His experience, leadership and profile would bring immediate value — not just on the pitch, but commercially.

São Paulo, though, could have an edge. Casemiro has often spoken about his gratitude to the club that developed him, and a romantic return to Morumbi would resonate deeply with fans. But the financial reality is clear: Brazilian clubs cannot compete with the £9m+ salaries he commands in Europe.

Saudi Arabia’s Tempting Shadow

Beyond Brazil, there’s the Saudi question. Clubs like Al-Hilal and Al-Nassr have already shown their willingness to invest heavily in established stars. Nicola notes that Saudi offers could dwarf anything Flamengo, Palmeiras or São Paulo can put on the table. For Casemiro, the decision may come down to legacy versus finances.

“Casemiro’s salary is simply out of reach for Brazilian clubs right now — the only way is if he decides legacy means more than money.” — Jorge Nicola

Casemiro 2025/26 Defensive Stats (Premier League)

Stat (2025/26) Casemiro
Interceptions per game 0.7
Tackles per game 2.0
Possession won (final third) 0.0
Balls recovered per game 2.7
Dribbled past per game 0.3
Clearances 0.3

source: sofascore match data – 8 September 2025

While Casemiro still contributes defensively, the numbers highlight a gradual decline in ball-winning dominance compared to his peak Madrid years. That may explain United’s willingness to prepare for life after him.

Analyst Verdict

FootballPlace analyst John William believes the writing is on the wall:

“Casemiro remains a useful squad option, but Amorim’s United need more energy and mobility in midfield. His legacy at Old Trafford is secure, but this season feels like a farewell lap. Brazil makes sense emotionally — especially São Paulo — but Saudi clubs could easily outbid anyone. The decision will hinge on what Casemiro values more: one last payday or a homecoming.”

Key Insights

  • Casemiro’s United contract runs until June 2026.
  • Flamengo, Palmeiras and São Paulo all monitoring.
  • Saudi Arabia could trump Brazilian offers financially.
  • United midfield rebuild means limited long-term role.
  • Decision expected after 2026 World Cup in North America.

What’s Next?

Casemiro is expected to see out the 2025/26 season in Manchester. United sources suggest he remains part of Amorim’s rotation, but succession plans involving Kobbie Mainoo and new signings are underway.

A final decision on his future will likely come after Brazil’s 2026 World Cup campaign. If United opt not to renew, he’ll be free to return to Brazil or cash in with Saudi Arabia. For now, fans can expect to see Casemiro anchoring United’s midfield for one last campaign — with an eye already on what comes next.

👉 Should Casemiro choose a legacy return to São Paulo — or chase one final mega-deal in Saudi Arabia?

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